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Election forecasts - fivethirtyeight blog - nytimes.com, Archives of nate silver's statistic-based political analysis and election forecasts using his own prediction models.. Role models (2008) - imdb, Directed by david wain. with seann william scott, paul rudd, christopher mintz-plasse, bobb'e j. thompson. danny and wheeler, well into their 30s, lack something. Fivethirtyeight, Nate silver’s fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle..